Transcript [00:00] And on October 20th, the people come [00:02] out. Thousands of them are starving in [00:04] Iran and they head for the Islamic [00:07] Iranian Guard Corps and they go in there [00:09] and they get in a pitch fight and they [00:11] win and it's kind of like jubilation and [00:14] they have pro- US sign. That is what [00:16] everybody's afraid of. [00:18] >> Victor Davis Hansen with a newest update [00:20] on Iran. Let's take a look at what the [00:22] legend himself has to say about what's [00:25] going on with the IRGC. Scott, [00:28] >> our Treasury Secretary, and he had a [00:31] couple of things this week. Um, one, he [00:33] is engaging in a new operation economic [00:36] outcast where he is continuing new [00:40] sanctions um sanctions on bank and [00:44] finance with the um with Iran. And I [00:48] think that's interesting to me because [00:50] it seems like just about every two or [00:53] three weeks he announces an operation of [00:56] this kind. And so I mean maybe our [00:58] audience knows a little bit more, but it [01:01] seems like they find new things all the [01:04] time, countries that are helping Iran, [01:07] finances that Iran has access to that [01:09] they can cut off, and he's always got [01:12] something new on the horizon. I was [01:14] wondering if you had any thoughts. Well, [01:15] I think the problem was that [01:18] February 28th when they finally unloaded [01:21] on them after the fruitless negotiations [01:24] and they did overwhelming damage with [01:26] the Israelis that they were going to [01:28] collapse, [01:31] but they were kind of like Japan. By n [01:35] after Okinawa in July, Japan was done [01:38] for. [01:41] Their harbors were mined. Their cities [01:43] were 60% were hollowed out by the B29s. [01:48] [snorts] [01:49] They had no control of their own [01:51] airspace. Battleships, [01:54] you know, sent salvos into their shores [01:56] with impunity. Submarines wouldn't let [01:58] anybody go in or out. But they lasted [02:00] all of July all and all the way up to [02:03] the atomic bomb. So it was very hard to [02:06] make them give up. So you needed a [02:09] shock. So we thought they were going to [02:11] surrender. But this is a theocratic [02:14] unhinged regime that just killed 40,000 [02:17] 30 to 40,000 of their own people. They [02:19] don't care. So their attitude is [02:23] well the Americans stopped. So we'll [02:26] negotiate. And by the way, not all the [02:28] countries are following the blockade or [02:30] embargo. And they will never enforce it [02:32] because people like the Spanish, the [02:35] North Koreans, the Chinese, the [02:37] Russians, and we have rail links on land [02:40] that haven't been touched. We have [02:42] airports, so we don't get all of our [02:45] stuff out or in just by sea. And we kept [02:48] thinking, well, it was hurting them, the [02:50] the embargo and sanctions. And then [02:52] finally people said if you can't trust [02:56] these people the 60-day memorandum of [02:59] understanding was a joke. And [03:03] um they had a lot of as people say [03:07] there's [sighs] [03:09] a lot of rot left in in an institution. [03:13] So what I'm getting at is [03:16] each time they make a pronouncement, [03:19] somebody tells them you can do it better [03:21] than that. So now we are embargoing and [03:25] sanctioning not just them from trading [03:28] but people who trade with them. So in [03:31] theory if we find out the Chinese are [03:35] sending missiles, say that we're not [03:37] going to deal with China, that would [03:39] bankrupt China. [03:41] We'll see how that goes. And then [03:43] secondly, we're trying to tell the world [03:45] that these theocrats that feel that any [03:48] day they would like to be in heaven with [03:50] 72 virgins [03:52] or on hinge. But on the other time, [03:54] they're savvy business people and [03:56] they're greedy and they have luxury [03:58] estates in London and Paris and property [04:02] and vineyards and we are going to trace [04:05] every single one and confiscate it and [04:08] that's going to hurt them. Uh there are [04:10] people who have been writing that the [04:13] problem that we're going to have is that [04:15] since the currency is worth nothing more [04:18] than [04:20] waste paper and there's no [04:24] um oil getting out for revenue and even [04:28] being pumped in some cases for gasoline [04:31] because they need spare parts and they [04:33] don't produce their own oil and gas. It [04:36] all has to be everything in that [04:37] country's got to be imported except [04:40] drones and even the components have to [04:43] be imported. And so now after [04:46] March, April, May, June, July, August, 6 [04:50] months, they're running out of parts and [04:53] the whole thing is starting to grind to [04:54] a halt. So now the existential question [04:56] is Trump said yesterday those people [04:59] have to rise up and fight. Which is [05:01] greater? The fear of being slaughtered [05:04] as in the past? because these these [05:05] people will kill 40,000 more. Or the [05:08] idea you're going to starve to death or [05:10] you're going to not just be confined in [05:14] your home and you'll have no air [05:15] conditioning, no heating with winter [05:16] coming on for heat. And that's what [05:20] we're worried about. [05:22] There are people who say, "Well, what [05:24] are you going to do, Trump, when they [05:27] can't eat?" [05:29] And the government likes that because [05:31] they think that you'll ease up. They're [05:33] using their own people in the way that [05:35] Hamas use people to shield their tunnels [05:38] and mosque um schools and hospitals. [05:42] They're doing the same thing on a [05:43] national scale. They're using their own [05:45] people that are pro-American and we like [05:48] and they are saying, "Well, you can do [05:50] what you want, but they're going to die [05:51] before we are." And that's a problem. [05:55] Trump's attitude, as I said, is kind of [05:58] the anaconda, and it's trying to make [06:00] the the [clears throat] [06:02] war livable by basically saying, [06:05] "We got it down now, so we don't have to [06:08] do kinetic action very much. It's [06:09] expensive. We've tragically lost 17, but [06:13] we're not going to really lose any more [06:14] people. Price of oil goes between 70 and [06:18] $90, but 9 million, everybody said [06:20] they're lying. It can't be 9 million [06:22] barrels." Well, we found out this week [06:24] there are 9 million barrels getting out [06:26] and there will be 15 million very [06:29] quickly on pipelines to the [06:31] Mediterranean, the Gulf of Oman, and the [06:34] Red Sea. So, what I'm getting is Trump [06:36] is basically saying, I can sustain this [06:39] and it's a war, but it's not a war. [06:41] Everybody say it's a war. We're losing [06:43] it. No, it's not a war. It's a sanctions [06:45] now. It's like the blockade of Cuba in ' [06:48] 62. How long did that last? They [06:50] couldn't withstand that. So that's what [06:53] we're doing. And as long as we're not [06:55] spending a great deal of money, we are, [06:57] but not like a a real war. And we're not [07:00] getting people killed, it's sustainable. [07:03] But it's not sustainable for them. What [07:06] the left is terrified, both the European [07:08] left, the Canadian left and the American [07:12] left, is a scenario like this. Everybody [07:15] should listen very carefully. So [07:17] everybody is saying Trump is down. [07:20] Trump as in the Republicans are [07:22] generically down eight points and they [07:26] may lose the Senate by may even get the [07:29] Democrats two two Senate seat majority [07:31] and they're going to lose the House and [07:33] they're thinking thinking thinking this [07:35] and then on October 20th guess what the [07:39] people come out [07:41] thousands of them are starving in Iran [07:43] and they head for the Iranian national [07:47] Islamic [07:48] guard [07:49] CP, Islamic Iranian Islamic Iranian [07:53] Guard Corps, and they go in there and [07:55] they get in a pitch fight and they win [07:58] and it's kind of like jubilation and [08:02] they have pro- US sign. That is what [08:04] everybody's afraid of. If that happens [08:08] two weeks before the election or we then [08:10] all bets are off for the Democrats [08:12] because and it at the cost that we paid [08:15] to get rid of a 50year existential [08:18] threat that everybody said was [08:20] impossible to get rid of and it would be [08:22] another Vietnam or Iraq or to get that [08:25] out with no bomb and then not just to [08:28] get rid of them but to have them [08:29] pro-American [08:31] basically the most sophisticated largest [08:34] population except for Egypt, biggest [08:37] area, pro-American on both sides of the [08:40] Gulf. Can you imagine what that would do [08:41] to Hamas and the Houthis and Hezblah? [08:44] They would be flat broke forever. It [08:46] would free Lebanon. It would empower [08:48] Syria. That could happen. So that's what [08:51] they're really worried about. I would [08:53] say the odds of that happening are 3070. [08:57] >> I think it should be noted too that even [08:59] our left-wing presses are some of them. [09:02] CNN has a headline, "No, Iran is not [09:05] winning. It's losing its leverage in [09:08] Hormuz." And Newsweek has a headline, [09:11] Iran is facing its Soviet moment and [09:15] possibly its end, which is extraordinary [09:17] for those left. [09:19] >> I don't understand why the left and the [09:22] right are that is true. But I think I [09:25] mentioned I think it was John Mish [09:26] Mishameir, the the author about the [09:29] Israeli influence of the United States. [09:31] He said that no country is rooting for [09:34] us. Basant just got back from the [09:36] finance financial minister of 20 western [09:39] countries. He said they're all basically [09:40] hoping that we win. Tucker said [09:45] uh that it's completely a disaster and [09:48] Donald Trump should be impeached. [09:50] [sighs] [09:50] Robert Kagan who used to be a stalwart [09:53] Republican married to Victoria Nuland [09:55] who was the NATO minister. [09:58] He wrote that we lost the war. [10:01] So, one of two things are h happening. [10:04] One of three things. They're completely [10:06] on hinge and lost their minds. [10:10] They know that's not true, but their [10:11] hatred of Trump is such they hope it's [10:13] true and they think they can realize [10:14] that by promagating something. Or [10:22] they're sitting in their [10:25] office, they have no knowledge at all. [10:26] They're not even reading. They don't [10:28] even care. or they don't look at the [10:29] news reports, they don't talk to people [10:30] and they just decide they're losing. [10:33] It's either they're completely ignorant [10:36] or they know what they're doing and [10:37] they're lying or they hate Trump so much [10:40] they they're blinded to reality because [10:43] reality there's evidence out there from [10:45] any sources, not just CNN, from the [10:47] Arabs, from people who call their [10:50] Iranian relatives, everybody is worried [10:54] that they're starving to death. [10:58] And the reality is when we have a media [11:01] inside of the United States of America [11:03] that is so hellbent on proving that what [11:06] America is doing to liberate the Iranian [11:09] people and to finish this Nazisesque [11:11] terrible, you know, backwards regime [11:13] that threatens the life of everyone who [11:16] is a freedomloving individual in this [11:17] world. Uh when you have a media like [11:20] that within the state sending so much [11:23] ill will towards the United States of [11:24] America for doing this operation, it [11:26] really becomes hard to trust anyone. Um [11:31] and I think we may be looking at an IRGC [11:33] that's certainly weakening. It looks [11:35] like Donald Trump's plan of weakening [11:38] them economically may actually be [11:39] catching up because reporting that's [11:41] coming out is that they're in very very [11:43] bad shape. And you know, I remember just [11:46] like around a month, a month and a half [11:48] ago, I was walking around looking at the [11:50] um looking at the jets above me, getting [11:52] ready for whatever the [ __ ] was about to [11:54] happen. And then last moment it gets [11:56] called off, and we were all in uh we [11:59] were all in shock. We were all ready for [12:00] another, you know, for another bombing [12:03] campaign, another uh period of running [12:05] to the bomb shelter. And now we've just [12:07] been Israel's kind of going back to [12:09] normal. You know, Israel's progressing. [12:11] Israel has its elections. [12:14] progressing to a more normal state and [12:16] the Islamic regime of Iran is not. [12:19] And so their plans have failed [12:21] tremendously in every way you look at [12:23] it. And hopefully inshallah they keep [12:25] failing tremendously and we we enter a [12:28] reality where they actually do fall and [12:30] we're able to have peace in the Middle [12:31] East. Once again, I'll see you guys next [12:33] one.
